Opening Argument – New Haven’s Injustice Shouldn’t Disappear

National Journal

Frank Ricci, a firefighter in New Haven, Conn., worked hard, played by the rules, and earned a promotion to fire lieutenant. But the city denied him the promotion because he is not black. Ricci sued, along with 16 other whites and one Hispanic firefighter. After a 7-6, near-party-line vote by a federal Appeals Court to dismiss the lawsuit, the plaintiffs petitioned for Supreme Court review.

If the Court grants the petition, the now-obscure case will vault to the top of the nation’s racial policy agenda, presenting a tough issue not only for the justices but also for President-elect Obama. He could come under great pressure to take a position for or against the blessing conferred by eight liberal lower-court judges on what many voters — and, I would guess, five justices — would see as a raw racial quota.

To be sure, it is far from clear that the Court will take the case, one of dozens scheduled to come before its confidential conference on December 12. Although a dissent by six conservative and moderate Appeals Court judges urged Supreme Court review, the case does not involve the kind of clear split among lower courts that only the high court can resolve. So it may disappear without a trace, with no occasion for Obama or his Justice Department to take a position.

Balancing Security and Liberty

National Journal

President-elect Obama’s announcement of his (mostly) stellar national security team coincides with the release this week of a bipartisan commission report with this chilling assessment of the most important challenge that team faces: "Without greater urgency and decisive action by the world community, it is more likely than not that a weapon of mass destruction will be used in a terrorist attack somewhere in the world by the end of 2013."

Perhaps the commission, former Defense Secretary William Perry, and other experts who have issued similarly dramatic warnings are crying wolf. Perhaps the likelihood of any terrorist group getting a nuclear bomb is "vanishingly small," as Ohio State political science professor John Mueller has forcefully argued. Or perhaps it’s closer to 30 percent over the next 10 years, as Matthew Bunn of Harvard’s Kennedy School estimated last month in "Securing the Bomb 2008."

 

Our way of life may well depend on catching nuclear or biological terrorists before they can strike.

 

Whatever the odds, if terrorists ever smuggle a crude, Hiroshima-sized nuke into, say, Manhattan, the immediate death toll could exceed 500,000. And the ensuing panic could threaten our constitutional system, spur evacuations of major cities, kill international trade, bring the worst economic depression in history, and perhaps usher in a new dark age worldwide.

This prospect puts into perspective the efforts of many human-rights activists, Obama supporters, and journalists to weaken essentially all of the government’s most important tools for disabling terrorists before they can strike.

Judicial Excess On The Left

National Journal

How would soon-to-be-President Obama like it if the courts were to order the Navy — his Navy — to cripple its training in Southern California coastal waters in the use of sonar to detect enemy submarines, and thereby perhaps endanger the Pacific Fleet?

That’s what four Democratic-appointed federal judges in California and two liberal Supreme Court justices voted to do in a recent case, to avoid any possibility of harming marine mammals, not one of which has suffered a documented injury in 40 years of sonar training off the California coast.

And that’s the sort of thing that liberal groups want done by the judges that President-elect Obama will soon be appointing.

Fortunately, the Supreme Court overturned on November 12, in Winter v. Natural Resources Defense Council, the major restrictions on sonar training that the four lower-court judges had ordered. The majority held that with the nation embroiled in two wars, "the Navy’s interest in effective, realistic training of its sailors" far outweighed the speculative harm that the training might do to the plaintiffs’ interest in marine mammals.

"For the plaintiffs, the most serious possible injury would be harm to an unknown number of the marine mammals that they study and observe," Chief Justice John Roberts wrote for himself and the four other more-conservative justices. "In contrast, forcing the Navy to deploy an inadequately trained antisubmarine force jeopardizes the safety of the fleet."

Which Obama Would America Get?

National Journal

When John McCain and many other Republicans ask, "Who is the real Barack Obama?" there is an implication that maybe he is somehow sinister or extremist.

I don’t believe that. But I do think that there are two very different Obamas. Both are extraordinarily intelligent, serene under pressure, and driven by an admirable social conscience — albeit as willing to deploy deception as the next politician. But while the first Obama would be a well-meaning failure, the second could become a great president.

An ultraliberal in moderate garb? The first Obama has sometimes seemed eager to engineer what he called "redistribution of wealth" in a 2001 radio interview, along with the more conventional protectionism, job preferences, and other liberal Democratic dogmas featured in his campaign. I worry that he might go beyond judiciously regulating our free enterprise system’s all-too-apparent excesses and stifle it under the dead hand of government bureaucracy and lawsuits.

This redistributionist Obama has stayed in the background since he set his sights on the presidency years ago, except when he told Joe the Plumber that his tax plan would help "spread the wealth." This Obama seems largely invisible to many supporters. But he may retain some attachment to the radical-leftist sensibility in which — as his impressive 1995 autobiography, Dreams From My Father, explains with reflective detachment — he was marinated as a youth and young man.

Obama spent much of his teenage years searching for his black identity. He was mentored for a time by the poet Frank Marshall Davis, a black-power activist who had once been a member of the Communist Party, and who was (according to Obama’s book) "living in the same Sixties time warp" as Obama’s mother, a decidedly liberal free spirit.

 

Racism Marginalized — Even If Obama Loses

National Journal

An African-American candidate with left-of-center views and less than four years in the Senate appears poised to win the presidential election over a seasoned white war hero who was until lately a media darling.

And Barack Obama’s favorability rating (53 percent favorable to 33 percent unfavorable) in a recent CBS News/New York Times poll was "the highest for a presidential candidate running for a first term in the last 28 years" of that poll.

There is much to celebrate in this, even for supporters of John McCain. Win or lose, Obama has proved (if more proof were needed) that although many blacks are still mired in poverty — a legacy of our racist history — contemporary white racism has been driven to the fringes and is no longer a serious impediment to black advancement.

So, is the racial-grievance crowd celebrating? Hardly. Instead, the obsessive search for ever-more-elusive evidence of widespread white racism and sneaky appeals to it goes on.

The McCain-Palin campaign has certainly showed an ugly side as its fortunes have faded. Examples include Sarah Palin’s recent suggestion that small towns were "the pro-America areas of this great nation," for which she has had to apologize; her earlier claim that Obama had been "palling around with terrorists"; and McCain’s warnings about Obama bringing "socialism" and "welfare." The mood of some lowlifes at McCain-Palin rallies has turned uglier still.

But the complaint that this shows that McCain and Palin are peddling "racist garbage" in code, as Harold Meyerson (to pick one example) wrote in the October 22 Washington Post, seems contrived.

Opening Argument – When Fannie And Freddie Opened The Floodgates

National Journal

President Bush, his Securities and Exchange Commission appointees, other free-enterprise dogmatists who have stood in the way of regulating risky and opaque financial manipulations, and greedy Wall Streeters deserve the blame heaped on them for the financial meltdown that has so severely shaken America.

But the pretense of many Democrats that this crisis is altogether a Republican creation is simplistic and dangerous.

It is simplistic because Democrats have been a big part of the problem, in part by supporting governmental distortions of the marketplace through mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, whose reckless lending practices necessitated a $200 billion government rescue last month. It is dangerous because misdiagnosing the causes of the crisis could lead both to regulatory overkill and to more reckless risk taking by Fannie, Freddie, or newly created government-sponsored enterprises.

Fannie and Freddie aside, it’s worth pointing out that many, if not most, of those greedy Wall Street barons are Democrats. And that the securities and investment industry has given more money to Democrats than to Republicans in this election cycle. And that opposing regulation of risky new financial practices by private investment banks and others has been a bipartisan enterprise, engaged in by the Clinton and Bush administrations alike.

What’s At Stake: Supreme Court

National Journal

The federal judiciary will become markedly more conservative if McCain wins and markedly more liberal if Obama does. This shift will affect the outcomes of cases involving a host of ideologically charged issues, including abortion; gay rights; affirmative action; the death penalty; the rights of suspected terrorists; gun control; property rights; the environment; regulation; and big-dollar lawsuits against business.

To woo conservatives who have long mistrusted him, McCain has bashed "activist judges" who "legislate from the bench." He has cited Bush-appointed Chief Justice John Roberts and Justice Samuel Alito as his models of restraint.

Obama, who taught constitutional law at the University of Chicago, voted against the confirmations of Roberts and Alito, saying that they too often side with "the powerful against the powerless" and lack "empathy" for ordinary people.

The replacement of a retiring liberal justice by a conservative McCain appointee, or of a conservative by a liberal Obama appointee, could give the Supreme Court an ideologically solid majority for the first time in decades and gradually make a dramatic impact on the course of the law. That’s because the current Court is so closely — and deeply — divided. It has four liberals, four conservatives, and one justice (Anthony Kennedy) who swings depending on the issue.

The Sound And Fury Behind The House’s Failure

National Journal

It’s hard for a broken political system to fix a broken financial system. That’s one lesson of the failure of the House of Representatives — and of its members’ constituents — on Monday to put aside partisan bickering and muster the seriousness necessary to contain the economic damage that is spreading so fast as to threaten calamity.

The 228 no votes on the bipartisan rescue plan — cast mainly by the most conservative Republicans, the most liberal Democrats, and the members most vulnerable to voters’ misguided wrath — not only destroyed nearly $500 billion in shareholder equity between Monday morning and Wednesday night. It was also symptomatic of our society’s increasing polarization into warring conservative and liberal camps pervaded by ignorance of economic realities, misinformed ideological certitudes, and unwillingness to trust even the consensus judgment of Democratic and Republican leaders and their expert advisers.

The damage done both to the economy and to international confidence in our capacity for self-government will be lasting even if Congress passes something like the administration’s $700 billion rescue plan by the time this is published, and even if that spurs a stock market rally.

Some banks that could have been saved if the rescue plan had passed on Monday may well go under. And the foreign lenders who hold about half of America’s nearly $6 trillion in public debt will be looking harder for other places to park their money.

The deepest cause of this failure is that many, many voters are at once stunningly uninformed about public affairs and deluded by populist simplicities ranging from Republican Rep. Thaddeus McCotter’s perception of "Bolshevik" tendencies in the Bush administration’s rescue plan to many Democrats’ reluctance to save the financial system if doing so might possibly enrich some undeserving Wall Street fat cats.

Opening Argument – Nine Justices, 10 Judicial Activists

National Journal

The Supreme Court has five liberal judicial activists.

It also has five conservative judicial activists.

By "judicial activism," I mean a willingness to aggrandize judicial power by striking down democratically adopted laws and policies, based on subjective value judgments with no clear basis in the Constitution’s text or history.

(Do I miscount? No. Justice Anthony Kennedy is liberal sometimes, conservative sometimes, and activist almost all of the time.)

The activist bent of all nine justices is illustrated by the aftermath of two of this year’s biggest decisions.

In the first, on June 25, a 5-4 liberal majority (including Kennedy) stretched constitutional interpretation past the breaking point to bar Louisiana and other states from punishing by death even the most vicious rapes of children. The Louisiana rape victim was an 8-year-old girl.

In the second decision, issued the next day, a 5-4 conservative majority (also including Kennedy) struck down the District of Columbia’s strict gun control law by holding for the first time that the hopelessly ambiguous, 217-year-old Second Amendment protects a broad individual right to "keep and bear arms."

The child-rape case is now back before the Court in the form of a rare petition for rehearing by the Louisiana district attorney who was on the losing end of the June 25 decision. Based on a glaring error in the majority opinion, the petition will be on the table at the justices’ private conference on September 29.

Why Abortion Should Swing Few Votes

National Journal

Gov. Sarah Palin’s opposition to legal abortion — even in cases of rape and incest — has given the issue new prominence. Passionate abortion foes are enthused. Passionate abortion-rights supporters are horrified.

But most voters probably won’t give the abortion issue decisive weight in choosing between John McCain and Barack Obama. And for good reason. Both political parties embrace unpopular, immoderately absolutist positions on the issue, although McCain has flirted with moderation in the past.

And even though one or more of the five Supreme Court justices who clearly support abortion rights may well retire in the next four years, neither party is likely to succeed in making it a lot harder — or a lot easier — for most women to get abortions.

Polls show that a large majority of Americans reject both Palin’s uncompromising anti-abortion vision and the Republican platform’s extreme call for banning all abortions and all embryonic-stem-cell research. Most also oppose overruling Roe v. Wade.

But most voters don’t agree with Obama’s absolutist abortion-rights record, either. Obama would make it easier for women to get abortions; most voters would make it harder. Obama would require the federal government to fund abortions for poor women; most voters oppose that. And Obama’s record as an Illinois state senator can be read as suggesting that he may have a more sweeping vision of abortion rights than any of his current Senate colleagues have.

Would a McCain-Palin victory spell doom for Roe v. Wade and constitutional protection of abortion rights? It’s an outside possibility, but I’d bet a lot against it.